UK POWER: Prompt gains capped by strong supply as NBP trades up
London (Platts)--22Feb2012/818 am EST/1318 GMT
Prompt contracts on the UK power market firmed slightly Wednesday morning
following Tuesday's late gains on NBP gas, but strong selling and a lower
outturn on the N2EX exchange due to healthy supply margins capped potential
gains, a market source said.
On the OTC market, day-ahead baseload power changed hands midday at
GBP43/MWh, a modest 25 pence increase from the previous day's midday close.
"The day-ahead price tried to push above these levels, but N2EX
[day-ahead power auction] outturned at GBP43.30/MWh which kept a lid on
gains," a trader said.
In addition, the trader cited "aggressive selling" by a large nuclear
generator as another cap on potential prompt price gains.
Market commentary continues below...
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"Nuclear generation has remained strong over recent days and all
reactors seem to be performing well," he added.
According to National Grid data, UK nuclear power generation stands at
8.6 GW Wednesday morning, almost 18% of the country's total generation mix.
Meanwhile, wind power generation remains healthy at 3.2 GW (or 6.7%) and
will reach peak generation levels of 3.6 GW Thursday, while demand continues
to ease back on warming temperatures.
In addition, the UK is sending flows of just below 2 GW to France,
"limiting losses", said one market source.
Wednesday peak power demand is set at 51.7 GW and will ease back further
to 50.50 GW over peak Thursday hours, from Monday's 54.3 GW and Tuesday's
51.5 GW. As a result supply margins are set to swell from 14.3 GW in block 37
Wednesday to 17.7 GW for the same time Thursday.
Milder than average weather has dampened demand for power, with London
set to experience temperatures 5 degrees Celsius over the seasonal norm
Thursday while Birmingham reaches highs 7 degrees C over the average,
according to forecaster CustomWeather.
Weekend temperatures will fall roughly in line with the seasonal average
of 3-9 degrees Celsius in London but will turn milder again at the start of
next week.
Baseload power for delivery this weekend traded up 35 pence in line with
modest gains on the day-ahead to change hands at GBP42.15/MWh midday, while
power for next week delivery firmed 65 pence to reach GBP43.75/MWh.